looking forward

Report: College enrollment in petroleum programs — including in Texas — sees historic drop

The future of the oil and gas workforce isn't looking too bright when it comes to recruiting, the Wall Street Journal reports. Photo via Getty Images

Student enrollment in petroleum engineering programs at universities — including Texas schools — has dropped significantly, according to a recent report.

This prospective energy workforce is concerned about job security as the industry moves forward in the energy transition, reports the Wall Street Journal. The number of students enrolled in petroleum engineering programs has decreased to its lowest point in a decade, the WSJ found, breaking the typical cycle, which "ebbed and flowed" alongside the price of oil.

This decline is estimated as a 75 percent drop in enrollment since 2014, Lloyd Heinze, a Texas Tech University professor, tells the WSJ. The article specifies that the University of Texas at Austin has seen a 42 percent decline since its peak enrollment in 2015, and Texas A&M University has dropped 63.3 percent. Both schools' petroleum engineering programs are ranked No. 1 and No. 2, respectively, by U.S. News and World Report. Texas Tech, which ties with the University of Houston at No. 9 on the U.S. News report, has seen a 88.1 percent decline since its peak in 2015. UH data wasn't included in the article.

The article highlights declines at Colorado School of Mines (87.7 percent), Louisiana State University (89 percent), and University of Oklahoma (90 percent) since their peak enrollment in 2015.

A decline in future workforce for the energy industry would directly affect Houston's economy. According to the 2023 Houston Facts report from the Greater Houston Partnership, Houston held 23.8 percent of the nation’s jobs in oil and gas extraction (33,400 of 140,200) 17.0 percent of jobs in oil field services (33,600 of 198,100), and 9.6 percent of jobs in manufacturing of agricultural, construction and mining equipment (20,400 of 212,000), based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Barbara Burger tells the WSJ that new climatetech-focused startups have emerged and become more attractive to both college graduates and current oil and gas workforce. “There’s competition in a way that probably wasn’t there 15 years ago,” she shares.

The lack of college student pipeline paired with the diminishing workforce from emerging companies poses a challenge to incubant energy corporations, many of which have invested in programs at schools to better attract college graduates. The WSJ article points to BP's $4 million fellowship program with U.S. universities announced in February.

Just this week, Baker Hughes granted $100,000 to the University of Houston's Energy Transition Institute, which was founded last year with backing from Shell. In a recent interview with EnergyCapital, Joseph Powell, founding director of UH Energy Transition Institute, explains how the institute was founded to better engage with college students and bring them into the transitioning industry.

"It takes a lot of energy to process chemicals, plastics, and materials in a circular manner," he says. "Developing that workforce of the future means we need the students who want to engage in these efforts and making sure that those opportunities are available across the board to people of all different economic backgrounds in terms of participating in what is going to be just a tremendous growth engine for the future in terms of jobs and opportunities."

Clean energy jobs are already in Texas, and are ripe for the taking, according to a recent SmartAsset report that found that 2.23 percent of workers in the Houston area hold down jobs classified as “green.” While oil and gas positions are still paying top dollar, these clean energy jobs reportedly pay an average of 21 percent more than other jobs.

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A View From HETI

Chevron plans to launch its first AI data center power project in West Texas in 2027. Photo via Chevron.com

Two of the Houston area’s oil and gas goliaths, Chevron and ExxonMobil, are duking it out in the emerging market for natural gas-powered data centers—centers that would ease the burden on electric grids.

Chevron said it’s negotiating with an unnamed company to supply natural gas-generated power for the data center industry, whose energy consumption is soaring mostly due to AI. The power would come from a 2.5-gigawatt plant that Chevron plans to build in West Texas. The company says the plant could eventually accommodate 5 gigawatts of power generation.

The Chevron plant is expected to come online in 2027. A final decision on investing in the plant will be made next year, Jeff Gustavson, vice president of Chevron’s low-carbon energy business, said at a recent gathering for investors.

“Demand for gas is expected to grow even faster than for oil, including the critical role gas will play [in] providing the energy backbone for data centers and advanced computing,” Gustavson said.

In January, the company’s Chevron USA subsidiary unveiled a partnership with investment firm Engine No. 1 and energy equipment manufacturer GE Vernova to develop large-scale natural gas power plants co-located with data centers.

The plants will feature behind-the-meter energy generation and storage systems on the customer side of the electricity meter, meaning they supply power directly to a customer without being connected to an electric grid. The venture is expected to start delivering power by the end of 2027.

Chevron rival ExxonMobil is focusing on data centers in a slightly different way.

ExxonMobil Chairman and CEO Darren Woods said the company aims to enable the capture of more than 90 percent of emissions from data centers. The company would achieve this by building natural gas plants that incorporate carbon capture and storage technology. These plants would “bring a unique advantage” to the power market for data centers, Woods said.

“In the near to medium term, we are probably the only realistic game in town to accomplish that,” he said during ExxonMobil’s third-quarter earnings call. “I think we can do it pretty effectively.”

Woods said ExxonMobil is in advanced talks with hyperscalers, or large-scale providers of cloud computing services, to equip their data centers with low-carbon energy.

“We will see what gets translated into actual contracts and then into construction,” he said.

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