big deal

Houston-based Calpine Corp. to be acquired in clean energy megadeal

Houston's Calpine Corp. will be acquired by Baltimore-based nuclear power company Constellation Energy Corp. Photo via DOE

Baltimore-based nuclear power company Constellation Energy Corp. and Houston-based Calpine Corp. have entered into an agreement where Constellation will acquire Calpine in a cash and stock transaction with an overall net purchase price of $26.6 billion.

The companies say the agreement has the potential to create America’s “largest clean energy provider,” with what is reported to be the largest fleet of U.S. power stations servicing about 2.5 million customers.

“This is an incredible opportunity to bring together top tier generation fleets, leading retail customer businesses and the best people in our industry to help drive a stronger American economy for a cleaner, healthier and more sustainable future,” Andrew Novotny, president and CEO of Calpine, said in a news release.

Calpine is the largest U.S. producer of energy from low-emission natural gas generation and oversees the largest geothermal generation operation in the U.S. Last year it announced plans to build the Baytown Carbon Capture and Storage Project (Baytown CCS Project), a first-of-its-kind carbon capture demonstration facility, as part of a cost-sharing agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy.

Constellation is considered the top clean energy producer in the U.S., which provides 10 percent of the country’s emissions-free energy. The deal will add to Constellation’s already diverse portfolio of zero- and low-emission sources, including nuclear, natural gas, geothermal, hydro, wind, solar, cogeneration and battery storage.

“Both companies have been at the forefront of America’s transition to cleaner, more reliable and secure energy, and those shared values will guide us as we pursue investments in new and existing clean technologies to meet rising demand,” Joe Dominguez, president and CEO of Constellation, said the release. “What makes this combination even more special is it brings together two world-class teams, with the most talented women and men in the industry, who share a noble passion for safety, sustainability, operational excellence and helping America’s families, businesses and communities thrive and grow. We look forward to welcoming the Calpine team upon closing of this transaction.”

Constellation also announced that it will invest in adding more zero-emission energy to the grid to create “the most reliable generation portfolio in the U.S.” It plans to explore new advanced nuclear projects, invest in renewables and increase the output of existing nuclear plants.

“Together, we will be better positioned to bring accelerated investment in everything from zero-emission nuclear energy to battery storage that will power our economy in a way that puts people and our environment first,” Novotny said in a news release. “It’s a win for every American family and business in our newly combined footprint that wants clean and reliable energy. ECP’s commitment to these goals over the last seven years was critical to the progress we have made as a company and to laying a foundation for future growth.”

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A View From HETI

Wood Mackenzie predicts EVs will account for 20 percent of the U.S. personal and commercial vehicle fleet in 2040. Photo via Unsplash

The rise of electric vehicles could spell trouble for Houston’s oil and gas sector, a new report suggests. But the oil and gas industry stands to benefit from potential sluggishness in U.S. adoption of EVs.

If worldwide EV adoption rises as expected, global oil demand could fall by five million barrels per day by 2040, accelerating the closure of about 40 oil refineries, says the report, published by energy research and consulting firm Wood Mackenzie. The firm’s North American hub is in Houston.

Those closures might spell trouble for refinery operators with a sizable Houston-area presence, including BP, ExxonMobil, Marathon, Saudi Aramco, and Valero. In 2025, the five companies collectively earned roughly $33 billion from downstream operations, including refineries. One caveat: Each company assigns a different definition to “downstream.”

Refineries in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, including the U.S. but excluding Middle Eastern heavyweights, “are most at risk due to their high energy costs and carbon prices,” the Wood Mackenzie report says.

On the flip side, an abundant U.S. oil supply means American drivers have less of an incentive to switch from traditional cars to electric vehicles, despite stubbornly high fuel prices, according to the report.

Wood Mackenzie predicts EVs will account for 20 percent of the U.S. personal and commercial vehicle fleet in 2040, up from three percent in 2025. That compares with a global forecast of 25 percent in 2040, up from 4 percent last year.

Another U.S. roadblock to EV adoption cited in the report: the country’s relative lack of advanced battery manufacturing.

“Without advanced battery technologies, the U.S. auto sector is at risk of ceding its home market to non-Chinese EVs and falling behind competitors internationally,” the report says.

Furthermore, according to the report, Chinese investment in EV manufacturing in the U.S. probably will remain a no-go and tariffs on Chinese EV imports likely won’t be lifted, even if Democrats resurrected EV incentives following a White House win in 2028.

“Competition among EV manufacturers in international markets will only intensify,” the report notes. “Companies that can offer competitive products in high-growth markets will be best positioned for long-term success.”

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