big deal

US Air Force awards Houston geothermal co. $1.9M grant project

Houston startup Sage Geosystems has announced a new $1.9 million deal with the Air Force. Photo via sagegeosystems.com

The Department of the Air Force awarded Houston geothermal company Sage Geosystems Inc. a grant of $1.9 million in a first-of-its kind contract to determine whether a power plant using Geopressured Geothermal Systems is able to generate clean energy “needed for a base to achieve energy resilience,” according to a news release. The Sage facility will be the first GGS facility in the world to generate electricity, and the system will be constructed at an off-site test well in Starr County, Texas.

”We are excited to partner with the U.S. Air Force on this geothermal demonstration project,” CEO of Sage Geosystems Cindy Taff says in a news release. “Next generation geothermal technologies, like Sage Geosystems’ GGS, will be critical in providing energy resiliency at U.S. military installations.”

In addition to the grant, the company will match the grant with an additional $1.9 million for the demonstration project. The collaboration with Sage is one of three geothermal pilot projects the DAF has initiated in regards to next-generation geothermal technologies in 2024.

“We feel this is the launch pad of helping not only the DoD but many other applications throughout global markets,” 147th Civil Engineer Squadron Commander Lt Col Christian Campbell says in the release.

According to the DAF, the possibility of a full-scale project at Ellington Field Joint Air Reserve Base in Houston could usher in a new era of clean power producing plants to help meet the requirements for bases.

“This initial contract is a step forward in the Air Force’s push for energy resilience,” Kirk Phillips, director of the Air Force Office of Energy Assurance, adds in the release. “This project will improve Ellington Field’s ability to maintain operations during electrical grid outages and be completely self-sufficient for their energy needs.”

The GGS process works by repurposing fracking technology to extract thermal energy from below the Earth’s surface.GGS also demonstrates the opportunity for the civilian sector by surpassing the intermittency challenges for solar and wind energy generation. GSS can also work towards minimizing land use, which enables the technology to be used in urban areas without relying on transmission line build outs that can be expensive.

“This project, and the future Department of the Air Force projects that it paves the way for, will help to assure that our national security needs are met by our installations during critical emergencies,” Phillips continues.

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A View From HETI

Wood Mackenzie predicts EVs will account for 20 percent of the U.S. personal and commercial vehicle fleet in 2040. Photo via Unsplash

The rise of electric vehicles could spell trouble for Houston’s oil and gas sector, a new report suggests. But the oil and gas industry stands to benefit from potential sluggishness in U.S. adoption of EVs.

If worldwide EV adoption rises as expected, global oil demand could fall by five million barrels per day by 2040, accelerating the closure of about 40 oil refineries, says the report, published by energy research and consulting firm Wood Mackenzie. The firm’s North American hub is in Houston.

Those closures might spell trouble for refinery operators with a sizable Houston-area presence, including BP, ExxonMobil, Marathon, Saudi Aramco, and Valero. In 2025, the five companies collectively earned roughly $33 billion from downstream operations, including refineries. One caveat: Each company assigns a different definition to “downstream.”

Refineries in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, including the U.S. but excluding Middle Eastern heavyweights, “are most at risk due to their high energy costs and carbon prices,” the Wood Mackenzie report says.

On the flip side, an abundant U.S. oil supply means American drivers have less of an incentive to switch from traditional cars to electric vehicles, despite stubbornly high fuel prices, according to the report.

Wood Mackenzie predicts EVs will account for 20 percent of the U.S. personal and commercial vehicle fleet in 2040, up from three percent in 2025. That compares with a global forecast of 25 percent in 2040, up from 4 percent last year.

Another U.S. roadblock to EV adoption cited in the report: the country’s relative lack of advanced battery manufacturing.

“Without advanced battery technologies, the U.S. auto sector is at risk of ceding its home market to non-Chinese EVs and falling behind competitors internationally,” the report says.

Furthermore, according to the report, Chinese investment in EV manufacturing in the U.S. probably will remain a no-go and tariffs on Chinese EV imports likely won’t be lifted, even if Democrats resurrected EV incentives following a White House win in 2028.

“Competition among EV manufacturers in international markets will only intensify,” the report notes. “Companies that can offer competitive products in high-growth markets will be best positioned for long-term success.”

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