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the view from HETI

HETI members to cover key energy transition topics at CERAWeek 2024

Houston Energy Transition Initiative
Mar 13, 2024, 11:13 am
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The View From HETI
The sessions feature dozens of HETI Steering Committee leaders covering key energy transition topics. Photo via htxenergytransition.org

CERAWeek 2024, the world’s preeminent energy conference, will explore strategies for a multidimensional, multispeed and multifuel energy transition. More than 8,000 thought leaders, policymakers, and executives from across energy, finance, technology, and governments are convening in Houston to openly discuss our industry’s greatest challenges.

Taking place from March 18–22, 2024, the CERAWeek 2024 conference program will explore themes related to: energy markets, policy and geopolitics, company strategies, power markets in transition, new supply chains for net zero, capital transition, and technology and innovation.

The sessions feature dozens of HETI Steering Committee leaders covering key energy transition topics, including:

Session Theme: Energy Markets

Innovating the Energy Mix for Mobility
Monday, March 18, 2024 | 3:45 pm – 4:25 pm (CST)

Speakers: Meg Gentle, Executive Director of the Board, HIF Global; Emma Delaney, EVP, customers & products, bp

For over a century, the modern economy has been made possible by a global fossil fuel system that has delivered low-cost, scalable energy. Now after optimizing transportation fuels, engines and infrastructure, monumental changes are needed to power our future cars, trucks and airplanes while producing significantly less emissions. What’s next?

Energy Security in a Volatile World: The importance of markets
Tuesday, March 19, 2024 | 9:15 am – 9:50 am (CST)

Speaker: John Hess, Chief Executive Officer, Hess Corporation

Across the world, markets continue to seek visibility into what the post-pandemic normal will look like. How will supply and demand balance in a world of uncertainty?

Co-Location: The new duo of power generation and storage
Wednesday, March 20, 2024 | 12:00 pm – 12:50 pm (CST)

Speaker: Meghan Nutting, Sunnova Energy International, Inc.

Business models for grid-connected energy storage are being solidified around the world, leading to accelerated growth. In addition, “co-location” projects—pairing battery storage with renewable generation—are an increasingly attractive option for developers because of the flexibility and added value they place on generation assets.

Natural Gas for a Growing Global Economy
Wednesday, March 20, 2024 | 2:30 pm – 3:10 pm (CST)

Speakers: Peter Clarke, Senior Vice President, Global LNG, ExxonMobil International Limited; Lorenzo Simonelli, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, Baker Hughes; Clay Neff, President, International Exploration and Production, Chevron

Natural gas continues to play a major role in the global economy. How will the industry reconcile security of supply, environmental considerations, and the need to be affordable?

Session Theme: Climate & Sustainability

Accelerating Carbon Management
Monday, March 18, 2024 | 11:50 am – 12:30 pm (CST)

Speakers: Richard Jackson, President, U.S. Onshore Resources and Carbon Management Operations, Oxy; Zoe Yujnovich, Integrated Gas and Upstream Director, Shell

According to the International Plant Protection Convention (IPCC), large-scale Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) is required to limit warming to 1.5 °C. What is the technology outlook for difficult-to-decarbonize sectors like heavy industry, and emissions-mitigation scenarios?

Measuring Tomorrow’s Risks: Quantifying physical risks in a warmer world
Monday, March 18, 2024 | 2:00 pm – 2:30 pm (CST)

Speaker: Lynda Clemmons, Chief Sustainability Officer, NRG Energy

As climate change intensifies, understanding and measuring the physical risks associated with changing climate are paramount. With 2023 being the hottest year on record, and the U.S. experiencing extreme weather events costing over $150 billion annually, managing and adapting to physical climate risks is becoming increasingly critical.

CCUS Infrastructure: The key to commercializing decarbonization
Tuesday, March 19, 2024 | 8:30 am – 9:00 am (CST)

Speakers: Carl Fortin, Global Marketing for Carbon Capture Utilization & Storage, ExxonMobil; Fred Majkut, Senior Vice President, Carbon Solutions, SLB

As CCUS projects become more developed globally, there will be more frequent requirements for long-distance and cross-border business dealings to connect players across the chain from carbon capture, transportation and storage. What sort of policies, financing, stakeholder engagement and economic solutions are required to realize the potential of CCUS in these situations?

Reducing Emissions in Supply Chains
Tuesday, March 19, 2024 | 10:30 am – 11:00 am (CST)

Speaker: Heloisa Schmidt, Corporate Sustainability Manager, Bechtel

Reducing emissions through the supply chain is an important priority for all energy producers and suppliers. Which state-of-the-art practices can best reduce embedded carbon or operational emissions from supply chain operations?

Managing Carbon Projects: Lessons and solutions
Tuesday, March 19, 2024 | 3:10 pm – 3:50 pm (CST)

Speakers: Jeff Gustavson, President, Chevron New Energies; Dan Holton, Senior Vice President, Low Carbon Solutions, STRATEGY, PRODUCTS & NEW ASSETS, ExxonMobil

The development of large carbon management projects and hubs, involving large industrial partners, is a key requirement for reaching net zero. Discover the policies and programs contributing to marked growth in carbon management projects.

Balancing Act: Incentivizing decarbonization and renewables
Wednesday, March 20, 2024 | 9:30 am – 10:00 am (CST)

Speaker: Tomeka McLeod, Vice President Hydrogen & CCS, US, bp United States

There are several pathways to lower emissions. The world will probably need an all-of-the-above strategy instead of an either-or strategy to get to net zero. Are today’s policy tools creating adequate incentives for investment in both decarbonization pathways such as CCS, H2, DAC and renewable energy?

Future-Proofing Energy Assets: Repurposing for low-carbon
Wednesday, March 20, 2024 | 1:30 pm – 2:00 pm (CST)

Speaker: Edward Stones, Business Vice President, Dow, Inc.

Repurposing of energy assets to enable low-carbon energy projects is an increasingly common strategy across the energy sector—in upstream, downstream, and in the power sector. Which drivers enable industry players to take advantage of their existing assets in this way? What regulatory support is most helpful? Which regions offer the most potential?

Session Theme: Company Strategies

Strategic Choices in a Net Zero World
Monday, March 18, 2024 | 11:00 am – 11:40 am (CST)

Speaker: Meg O’Neill, Chief Executive Officer & Managing Director, Woodside Energy

While the world needs a growing supply of affordable, reliable, and sustainable energy in line with net-zero goals, companies need to choose their own path through the energy transition. Divergent strategies are emerging as companies seek growth opportunities while responding to pressures from investors and governments.

The Global Energy Company
Tuesday, March 19, 2024 | 10:45 am – 11:15 am (CST)

Speaker: Olivier Le Peuch, Chief Executive Officer, SLB

The push to decarbonize the global economy is opening new vistas of opportunity and risk for major international energy companies. Global companies are continuing to invest in their core businesses as they look for new growth opportunities in the energy transition.

The Multidimensional Energy Transition: A world of choices
Tuesday, March 19, 2024 | 12:55 pm – 2:10 pm (CST)

Speaker: Vicki Hollub, President & Chief Executive Officer, Oxy

Pushing for a single, global energy transition path is unrealistic and could derail efforts to reach net-zero emissions. Energy security and affordability come to the fore when lives and livelihoods are at stake. What are the paths for energy transition that also support economic growth and global prosperity in different regions and different sectors?

Carbon Credits: Opportunities and challenges as a policy tool
Tuesday, March 19, 2024 | 1:00 pm – 1:30 pm (CST)

Speaker: Barbara Harrison, Vice President, Offsets & Emerging, Chevron New Energies, Chevron

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This article originally ran on the Greater Houston Partnership's Houston Energy Transition Initiative blog. HETI exists to support Houston's future as an energy leader. For more information about the Houston Energy Transition Initiative, EnergyCapitalHTX's presenting sponsor, visit htxenergytransition.org.

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Tesla Q1 profit falls by more than half, but stock jumps amid production of cheaper vehicles

The Austin, Texas, company said it made $1.13 billion from January through March compared with $2.51 billion in the same period a year ago. Photo courtesy of Tesla

Tesla’s first-quarter net income plummeted 55 percent, but its stock price surged in after-hours trading Tuesday as the company said it would accelerate production of new, more affordable vehicles.

The Austin, Texas, company said it made $1.13 billion from January through March compared with $2.51 billion in the same period a year ago.

Investors and analysts were looking for some sign that Tesla will take steps to stem its stock's slide this year and grow sales. The company did that in a letter to investors Tuesday, saying that production of smaller, more affordable models will start ahead of previous guidance.

The smaller models, which apparently include the Model 2 small car that is expected to cost around $25,000, will use new generation vehicle underpinnings and some features of current models. The company said it would be built on the same manufacturing lines as its current products.

On a conference call with analysts, CEO Elon Musk said he expects production to start in the second half of next year “if not late this year.”

New factories or massive new production lines won't be needed for the new vehicles, Musk said.

“This update may result in achieving less cost reduction than previously expected but enables us to prudently grow our vehicle volumes in a more capex efficient manner during uncertain times,” the investor letter said.

But Musk gave few specifics on just what the new vehicles will be and whether they would be variants of current models. “I think we’ve said all we will on that front,” he told an analyst.

He did say that he expects Tesla to sell more vehicles this year than last year's 1.8 million.

The company also appears to be counting on a vehicle built to be a fully autonomous robotaxi as the catalyst for future earnings growth. Musk has said the robotaxi will be unveiled on Aug. 8.

Shares of Tesla rose 11 percent in trading after Tuesday’s closing bell, but they are down more than 40 percent this year. The S&P 500 index is up about 5 percent for the year.

Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein said the company gave guidance about its future that was clearer than in the past, allaying investor concerns about production of the Model 2 and future growth. “I think for now we're likely to see the stock stabilize," he said. “I think Tesla provided an outlook today that can make investors feel more assured that management is righting the ship.”

But if sales fall again in the second quarter, the guidance will go out the window and concerns will return, he said.

Tesla reported that first-quarter revenue was $21.3 billion, down 9 percent from last year as worldwide sales dropped nearly 9 percent due to increased competition and slowing demand for electric vehicles.

Excluding one-time items such as stock-based compensation, Tesla made 45 cents per share, falling short of analyst estimates of 49 cents, according to FactSet.

The company’s gross profit margin, the percentage of revenue it gets to keep after expenses, fell once again to 17.4 percent. A year ago it was 19.3 percent, and it peaked at 29.1 percent in the first quarter of 2022.

Over the weekend, Tesla lopped $2,000 off the price of the Models Y, S and X in the U.S. and reportedly made cuts in other countries including China as global electric vehicle sales growth slowed. It also slashed the cost of “Full Self Driving” by one third to $8,000.

Tesla also announced last week that it would cut 10 percent of its 140,000 employees, and Chief Financial Officer Vaibhav Taneja said Tuesday the cuts will be across the board. Growth companies build up duplication that needs to be pruned like a tree to continue growing, he said.

Musk has been touting the robotaxi as a growth catalyst for Tesla since the hardware for it went on sale late in 2015.

In 2019, Musk promised a fleet of autonomous robotaxis by 2020 that would bring income to Tesla owners and make their car values appreciate. Instead, they've declined with price cuts, as the autonomous robotaxis have been delayed year after year while being tested by owners as the company gathers road data for its computers.

Neither Musk nor other Tesla executives on Tuesday's call would specify when they expect Tesla vehicles to drive themselves as well as humans do. Instead, Musk touted the latest version of Tesla’s autonomous driving software — which the company misleadingly brands as “Full Self Driving” despite the fact that it still requires human supervision — and said that “it’s only a matter of time before we exceed the reliability of humans, and not much time at that.”

It didn’t take the Tesla CEO long to begin expounding on the possibility of turning on self-driving capabilities for millions of Tesla vehicles at once, although again without estimating when that might actually occur. He went on to insist that “if somebody doesn’t believe that Tesla is going to solve autonomy, I think they should not be an investor in the company.”

Early last year the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration made Tesla recall its “Full Self-Driving” system because it can misbehave around intersections and doesn’t always follow speed limits. Tesla's less-sophisticated Autopilot system also was recalled to bolster its driver monitoring system.

Some experts don't think any system that relies solely on cameras like Tesla's can ever reach full autonomy.

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